746 Burnt Mill Rd

Grover, NC 29702

$100,000B-

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,889 sqft · Built 2004 · SingleFamily · Pending · 19 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,596/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax + insurance: −$99
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $637/mo
• Annual: $7,650/yr
• Cap rate: 13.94%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.32%
• DSCR: 2.22
• 1% rule: 1.60%
• Cash to close: $28,000

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 55/100 on livability (#637 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Cherokee 01 (rural): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #47 of 80 in SC (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Blacksburg Elementary (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #339 of 597 statewide, top 57%, 362 students, 100% FRL); Blacksburg Middle (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #147 of 229 statewide, top 66%, 360 students, 72% FRL); Blacksburg High (math 42% / reading 92%, grade B, #73 of 196 statewide, top 41%, 553 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 200 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.