4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
997 sqft ·
Built 1912
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,088/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$549/mo
Annual
$6,591/yr
Cap rate
22.77%
Cash-on-cash
58.85%
DSCR
3.62
1% rule
2.72%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#235 in IA, #4,526 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Ballard Community School District (rural): math 80% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #28 of 289 in IA (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Story County in 2024 (34 in 5+ unit buildings).
Story County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V9J06Z0MTX0W69
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29