4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,368 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,505/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$316
Net cashflow
$78/mo
Annual
$938/yr
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.87%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($938/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#334 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Forrest County School District (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #47 of 130 in MS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: North Forrest Attendance Center (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #172 of 375 statewide, top 48%, 225 students, 99% FRL); North Forrest High School (math 42% / reading 27%, grade F, #68 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 342 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 121 units permitted in Forrest County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forrest County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VAM6EY884CVD2Y
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29