8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,776 sqft ·
Built 1972
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 256 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,464/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,555
Tax + insurance
−$975
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,567
Net cashflow
$-1,633/mo
Annual
$-19,598/yr
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.60%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$350,000
Investor read
This is a 6 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-272/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $961k (23.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $746k (40.3% below list).
It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $746k (40.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#73 in OR, #3,288 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities F.
Tillamook SD 9 (town): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #44 of 58 in OR (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (276 students, 77% FRL); East Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #78 of 128 statewide, top 63%, 470 students, 66% FRL); Tillamook High School (math 15% / reading 47%, grade F, #106 of 143 statewide, top 74%, 723 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Tillamook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tillamook County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.2% in Tillamook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29