1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
702 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$933/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$391
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$210
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$12/mo
Annual
$147/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.71%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$20,860
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($147/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $74k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
North East ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #276 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ridgeview El (math 38% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 541 students, 89% FRL); Nimitz Middle (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,301 of 1,662 statewide, top 79%, 1,071 students, 73% FRL); Legacy of Educational Excellence H S (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,002 of 1,632 statewide, top 62%, 2,390 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 41% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.8%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VB6GBD8HNV0B8Z
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29