4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,980 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$732
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$186/mo
Annual
$2,227/yr
Cap rate
7.89%
Cash-on-cash
5.70%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$39,060
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (7.8% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $140 of equity ($964 loan paydown + $-824 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#523 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Tipton (rural): math 15% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #471 of 513 in OK (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Tipton Es (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #652 of 845 statewide, top 79%, 149 students, 0% FRL); Tipton Hs (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 75 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Tillman County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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