3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,997 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,798/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$377
Net cashflow
$-343/mo
Annual
$-4,114/yr
Cap rate
4.46%
Cash-on-cash
-6.53%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-343 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (26.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (20.1% below list).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#74 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Haverhill Cooperative School District (rural): math 26% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #78 of 98 in NH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Woodsville Elementary School (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #201 of 263 statewide, top 82%, 211 students, 36% FRL); Haverhill Cooperative Middle School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #50 of 96 statewide, top 54%, 226 students, 38% FRL); Woodsville High School (math 15% / reading 54%, grade F, #71 of 90 statewide, top 80%, 216 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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