2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
826 sqft ·
Built 1909
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$860/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$718
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$181
Net cashflow
$-207/mo
Annual
$-2,489/yr
Cap rate
4.48%
Cash-on-cash
-6.49%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$38,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-207 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $100k (26.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (37.3% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $86k (37.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($947 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#108 in IA, #2,086 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Sigourney Community School District (rural): math 76% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #122 of 289 in IA (top 42%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Sigourney Elementary (math 82% / reading 57%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 323 students, 39% FRL); Sigourney Jr-Sr High Sch (math 72% / reading 75%, grade B+, #108 of 336 statewide, top 33%, 270 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Keokuk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Keokuk County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $44k; list at $137k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VC4Q4CEEB49NCG
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29