12 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,070 sqft ·
Built 1915
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 314 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,135/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,020
Tax + insurance
−$1,115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,338
Net cashflow
$1,661/mo
Annual
$19,935/yr
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.20%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$321,440
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $554/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.11M (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.01M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.01M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $34k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $206k; list at $1.15M implies a 457% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 39% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,135/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 5525% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-VC585C8J3QA4GZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29