2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$912/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$160
Tax + insurance
−$51
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$192
Net cashflow
$510/mo
Annual
$6,119/yr
Cap rate
26.35%
Cash-on-cash
71.65%
DSCR
4.19
1% rule
2.99%
Cash to close
$8,540
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($912 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $211 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $915 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#220 in OH, #3,412 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
Sidney City (town): math 46% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #454 of 656 in OH (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 337 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $9k; list at $30k implies a 239% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 4.1% in Sidney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Moderate: exterior siding
— weathered and in need of repainting
CashFlowRE · CFR-VC9EQP0WCAHHPN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29