3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,201 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 213 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,342/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,176
Tax + insurance
−$565
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,122
Net cashflow
$1,479/mo
Annual
$17,753/yr
Cap rate
10.57%
Cash-on-cash
15.28%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$116,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $415k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $415k).
It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($365k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $365k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#785 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Coxsackie-Athens Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #384 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
19 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 20650% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $125k; list at $415k implies a 232% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $116k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VD4QC07SNRPK4W
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29