3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,615 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Townhouse
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,111
Tax + insurance
−$547
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$-933/mo
Annual
$-11,192/yr
Cap rate
3.51%
Cash-on-cash
-9.93%
DSCR
0.56
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$112,700
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $402k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-933 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (40.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (37.9% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($390k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (40.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in NV, #3,528 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, commute D-.
Elko County School District (town): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #9 of 17 in NV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Grammar School 2 (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #83 of 402 statewide, top 22%, 339 students, 100% FRL); Adobe Middle School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #44 of 109 statewide, top 46%, 720 students, 36% FRL); Elko High School (math 21% / reading 38%, grade F, #67 of 131 statewide, top 53%, 1,424 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 29% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 284 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 120 units permitted in Elko County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elko County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VD6ZA113YTRJXT
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29