3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,603 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,272/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$398
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$477
Net cashflow
$144/mo
Annual
$1,727/yr
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.58%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$66,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $239k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (4.9% below list).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
York 01 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #41 of 80 in SC (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #315 of 597 statewide, top 55%, 418 students, 100% FRL); York Middle (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #153 of 229 statewide, top 68%, 814 students, 72% FRL); York Comprehensive High (math 39% / reading 82%, grade C+, #108 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,493 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 54% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 957 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.2% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VDTF24BFKNYADA
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29