128 Fawn Dr

Downsville, LA 71234

$50,000B

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,824 sqft · Built 1993 · SingleFamily · Pending · 44 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,373/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax + insurance: −$114
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$288
• Net cashflow: $709/mo
• Annual: $8,509/yr
• Cap rate: 23.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 60.78%
• DSCR: 3.70
• 1% rule: 2.75%
• Cash to close: $14,000

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $164 of equity ($346 loan paydown + $-182 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#129 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Union Parish (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #74 of 98 in LA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Union Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Union County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.