3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,502/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$968
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$102/mo
Annual
$1,219/yr
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.36%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$51,660
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $184k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (18.6% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in TX, #3,504 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
Quitman ISD (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #381 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.1% in Quitman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn and cluttered
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Cluttered and worn
Major: Deck
— Worn and in need of refinishing
CashFlowRE · CFR-VE0R950825XH8A
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29