2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Land
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,736/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$15
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$-163/mo
Annual
$-1,955/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.17%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (10.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (21.0% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $174k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#124 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lake Havasu Unified District (4368) (urban): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #66 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Nautilus Elementary School (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #303 of 1,109 statewide, top 28%, 360 students, 52% FRL); Thunderbolt Middle School (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #81 of 218 statewide, top 37%, 851 students, 41% FRL); Lake Havasu High School (math 29% / reading 33%, grade F, #111 of 381 statewide, top 29%, 1,813 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 420 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $137k; list at $220k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.0% in Lake Havasu City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VE1061327A34H4
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29