3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Price Change
· 386 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$57
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$550/mo
Annual
$6,605/yr
Cap rate
22.80%
Cash-on-cash
58.97%
DSCR
3.62
1% rule
2.58%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 386 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#202 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Searcy County School District (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Marshall Elementary School (math 64% / reading 34%, grade D, #93 of 454 statewide, top 23%, 293 students, 99% FRL); Leslie Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 190 students, 98% FRL); Marshall High School (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #85 of 292 statewide, top 30%, 358 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 57% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP.
Searcy County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 386 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VE4N0R13NK3YTE
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29