4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,372/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$294
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$697/mo
Annual
$8,362/yr
Cap rate
21.23%
Cash-on-cash
53.33%
DSCR
3.37
1% rule
2.45%
Cash to close
$15,680
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $697 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#148 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
Pike County (rural): math 19% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #68 of 129 in AL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 42 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 2.0% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VE7SDXFT4HPMAP
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29