4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,422 sqft ·
Built 1916
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,368/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$274/mo
Annual
$3,288/yr
Cap rate
9.61%
Cash-on-cash
11.86%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#179 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Shelton Public Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #191 of 245 in NE (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Shelton Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #373 of 502 statewide, top 77%, 157 students, 45% FRL); Shelton High School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #107 of 261 statewide, top 52%, 112 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in Buffalo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Buffalo County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VEFASQ8MPMJ4JH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29