4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,552 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,766/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$290
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$371
Net cashflow
$-22/mo
Annual
$-269/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.45%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-269/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (17.9% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $177k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Morningside Elementary (math 63% / reading 57%, grade B-, #388 of 616 statewide, top 63%, 652 students, 68% FRL); East Middle School (math 60% / reading 67%, grade B+, #169 of 246 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 65% FRL); East High School (math 53% / reading 63%, grade C, #275 of 336 statewide, top 83%, 1,495 students, 54% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VEMNY1FVYBCMSY
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29