3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1935
· Other
· Active
· 164 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$305/mo
Annual
$3,660/yr
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.38%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,147 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Norris City-Omaha-Enfield CUSD 3 (rural): math 11% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Booth Elementary School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,247 of 2,056 statewide, top 61%, 82 students, 0% FRL); Norris City-Omaha-Enfield H S (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 203 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
White County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VF77SG8587JE9G
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29