3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,273 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,461/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$54/mo
Annual
$645/yr
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.28%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($645/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (18.8% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Edgewood ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #812 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Loma Park El (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,946 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 586 students, 98% FRL); Memorial H S (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,246 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 872 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 24% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VFFXP20B8CPBH4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29