4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,651 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,767/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$371
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,885/yr
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.73%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (1.8% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#34 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: commute D, employment D, amenities F.
Benson Unified School District (79226) (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #98 of 249 in AZ (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Benson Primary School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #466 of 1,109 statewide, top 42%, 560 students, 54% FRL); Benson Middle School (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #67 of 218 statewide, top 31%, 295 students, 52% FRL); Benson High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #120 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 443 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.5% in Benson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VFHRXFE8PDGQ4F
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29