26 bd · 1.3 ba ·
11,050 sqft ·
Built 1952
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 844 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,579/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,866
Tax + insurance
−$2,500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,852
Net cashflow
$361/mo
Annual
$4,335/yr
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.03%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$420,000
Investor read
This is a 9×2bd/1ba + 4×3bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $28/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.36M (9.5% below list).
It's been on market 844 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.32M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.32M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Weller Elem. (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 297 students, 83% FRL); Pipkin Middle (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #324 of 391 statewide, top 83%, 340 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 46% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 844 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VFXJKK17SABVB0
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29