2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,283 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$968/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$80/mo
Annual
$962/yr
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.12%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $80 ($962/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (12.0% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Bradley County (other): math 35% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #33 of 139 in TN (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Black Fox Elementary School (math 45% / reading 38%, grade F, #212 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 510 students, 0% FRL); Lake Forest Middle School (math 32% / reading 26%, grade F, #110 of 333 statewide, top 34%, 1,127 students, 0% FRL); Bradley Central High School (math 13% / reading 31%, grade F, #163 of 332 statewide, top 51%, 1,677 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 768 units permitted in Bradley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bradley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $75k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VG7JNWAG0DSR1X
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29