3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,187 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,538/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,982
Tax + insurance
−$630
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$533
Net cashflow
$-607/mo
Annual
$-7,287/yr
Cap rate
4.37%
Cash-on-cash
-6.88%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$105,837
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $378k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-607 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (23.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (32.9% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($367k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $254k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#197 in OH, #3,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Pickerington Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #186 of 656 in OH (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 475 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fairfield County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.3% in Pickerington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VGDA9A468EQE1D
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29