8 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,509/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,928
Tax + insurance
−$838
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,577
Net cashflow
$1,166/mo
Annual
$13,996/yr
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.67%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$209,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $749k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $583/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $749k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($727k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $727k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $61k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $56k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $555k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$98k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,509/mo this rent would consume 248% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 7852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VGENPJ4NKBNEF1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29