165 Dundee Ave

Paterson, NJ 07503-1018

$625,000D

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,860 sqft · Built 1900 · MultiFamily · Under Contract · 11 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,551/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,278
• Tax + insurance: −$1,042
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,166
• Net cashflow: $66/mo
• Annual: $793/yr
• Cap rate: 6.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.45%
• DSCR: 1.02
• 1% rule: 0.89%
• Cash to close: $175,000

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $625k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($793/yr) — positive. Per door: $33/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $555k (11.2% below list).
• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $555k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $23k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#293 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
• Paterson Public School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #458 of 472 in NJ (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 860 units permitted in Passaic County in 2024 (614 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Passaic County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $175k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.5% in Paterson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: Kitchen countertop — The countertop is worn out and needs replacement.
• Major: Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures are outdated and need updating.
• Major: Flooring — The flooring is old and worn, requiring replacement.
• Major: Paint — The interior walls and ceilings need repainting.
• Major: HVAC system — The HVAC system is outdated and needs replacement.