2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,704 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Townhouse
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$219
HOA
−$240
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$-220/mo
Annual
$-2,643/yr
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.56%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-220 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (22.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (15.8% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $131k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Neenah Joint School District (urban): math 47% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #72 of 342 in WI (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Spring Road Elementary (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #372 of 1,041 statewide, top 40%, 359 students, 34% FRL); Shattuck Middle (math 41% / reading 42%, grade F, #134 of 383 statewide, top 36%, 978 students, 32% FRL); Neenah High (math 41% / reading 60%, grade D+, #31 of 483 statewide, top 6%, 1,943 students, 28% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.0% in Fox Crossing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VGV8CGBA2TPNDA
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29