Southfork Modern Farmhouse Plan

Sunbury, OH 43074

$376,936F

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,193 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 666 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,548/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,692
• Tax + insurance: −$855
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$535
• Net cashflow: $-1,534/mo
• Annual: $-18,404/yr
• Cap rate: 2.71%
• Cash-on-cash: -12.81%
• DSCR: 0.43
• 1% rule: 0.50%
• Cash to close: $143,708

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $377k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $291k (22.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (32.4% below list).
• It's been on market 666 days — a 12% lower offer ($332k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $255k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#274 in OH, #4,498 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 249 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 666 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.