2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1953
· Condo
· Pending
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,489/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$425
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$733
Net cashflow
$994/mo
Annual
$11,929/yr
Cap rate
10.97%
Cash-on-cash
16.71%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $994 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#410 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
White Plains City School District (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #313 of 590 in NY (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: White Plains Middle School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 1,517 students, 50% FRL); White Plains Senior High School (math 89% / reading 67%, grade A-, #577 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 2,220 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $215k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.3% in White Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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