4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,130 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 280 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,663
Tax + insurance
−$529
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$-316/mo
Annual
$-3,794/yr
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.27%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$88,807
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $284k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-316 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $271k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (16.4% below list).
It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $237k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#77 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, schools D.
Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 526 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Landscaping
— Some areas of the landscaping appear overgrown and could benefit from trimming and maintenance.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29