3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,682 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$264/yr
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.57%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($264/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Exeter R-VI (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #493 of 535 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Exeter Elem. (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 216 students, 65% FRL); Exeter High (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #445 of 521 statewide, top 87%, 94 students, 71% FRL).
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VJ4XZH9GVZ5NKB
· Data 23 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29