3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,051 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,550/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,014
Tax + insurance
−$322
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$325
Net cashflow
$-125/mo
Annual
$-1,503/yr
Cap rate
5.52%
Cash-on-cash
-2.78%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$54,152
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $193k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (9.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (19.9% below list).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#119 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Benton School District (suburban): math 51% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #25 of 238 in AR (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Benton Middle School (math 54% / reading 40%, grade D+, #46 of 201 statewide, top 24%, 1,367 students, 44% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.4% in Benton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VKAAGC2MQQ09M7
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29