2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$707
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$285
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$306
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-779/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.06%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$37,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-779/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (7.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Warren Consolidated Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #373 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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