2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
684 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Other
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$652/mo
Annual
$7,819/yr
Cap rate
32.45%
Cash-on-cash
93.40%
DSCR
5.16
1% rule
3.63%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#10 in MT, #1,830 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Billings H S (urban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #69 of 116 in MT (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Burlington School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #223 of 293 statewide, top 79%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Lewis & Clark Middle School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #82 of 146 statewide, top 57%, 667 students, 0% FRL); Billings Sr High School (math 25% / reading 43%, grade F, #55 of 132 statewide, top 41%, 1,739 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,401 units permitted in Yellowstone County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yellowstone County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 32.4% vs local median 3.0% in Billings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— Age and potential leaks
Major: interior walls/paint
— Paint wear and potential damage
Major: windows
— Age and potential leaks
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— Age and potential inefficiency
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-VMYBHF5YQ5Z8Z7
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29