3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,499/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$-218/mo
Annual
$-2,621/yr
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.35%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-218 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (17.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (30.3% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $150k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#146 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Griffith Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #189 of 301 in IN (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elsie Wadsworth Elementary School (464 students, 57% FRL); Griffth Jr/Sr High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #143 of 369 statewide, top 44%, 1,059 students, 55% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Griffith Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $215k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VN04401H58BRGP
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29