3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,066 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,037/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,673
Tax + insurance
−$227
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$-291/mo
Annual
$-3,487/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.90%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$89,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $319k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-291 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (16.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (36.2% below list).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#81 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Jasper 01 (rural): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #77 of 80 in SC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ridgeland Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #515 of 597 statewide, top 89%, 829 students, 100% FRL); Hardeeville-Ridgeland Middle (math 8% / reading 17%); Ridgeland Secondary Academy of Excellence (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #183 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 639 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 78% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 1,385 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $179k; list at $319k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,037/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 395% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29