3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,509 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,619/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$340
Net cashflow
$349/mo
Annual
$4,188/yr
Cap rate
10.28%
Cash-on-cash
14.25%
DSCR
1.63
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#58 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Stone County School District (town): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #15 of 130 in MS (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Perkinston Elementary School (math 54% / reading 53%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 549 students, 100% FRL); Stone Middle School (math 54% / reading 42%, grade C-, #34 of 179 statewide, top 20%, 599 students, 100% FRL); Stone High School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #30 of 197 statewide, top 15%, 722 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.5% in Wiggins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VN9RCC6PN66Y1J
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29