3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
970 sqft ·
Built 1951
· Townhouse
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,402/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$480
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$54/mo
Annual
$651/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.89%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($651/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (7.6% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#301 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Seat Pleasant Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #766 of 860 statewide, top 93%, 331 students, 71% FRL); G. James Gholson Middle (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #219 of 225 statewide, top 98%, 867 students, 91% FRL); Fairmont Heights High (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #154 of 222 statewide, top 70%, 1,039 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 53% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.3% in Seat Pleasant — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VNG5QG70RK6SZS
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29