3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,309/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$485
Net cashflow
$354/mo
Annual
$4,248/yr
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.07%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (7.6% below list).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Lake Ridge New Tech Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #287 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Longfellow New Tech Elementary Sch (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #893 of 994 statewide, top 91%, 524 students, 90% FRL); Lake Ridge New Tech Middle School (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #287 of 330 statewide, top 88%, 476 students, 92% FRL); Calumet New Tech High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #345 of 369 statewide, top 95%, 619 students, 90% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VQK2K0A1HEB6RA
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29