3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,577/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$799/mo
Annual
$9,589/yr
Cap rate
21.07%
Cash-on-cash
52.77%
DSCR
3.35
1% rule
2.43%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $799 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $816 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Lake Ridge New Tech Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #287 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Longfellow New Tech Elementary Sch (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #893 of 994 statewide, top 91%, 524 students, 90% FRL); Lake Ridge New Tech Middle School (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #287 of 330 statewide, top 88%, 476 students, 92% FRL); Calumet New Tech High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #345 of 369 statewide, top 95%, 619 students, 90% FRL).
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 85d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 8.9% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,577/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and wear.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting or replacement.
Minor: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VQK8W82QR6K5RQ
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29