3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,408 sqft ·
Built 1981
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$32/mo
Annual
$378/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.90%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($378/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (23.3% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $115k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#499 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: housing D, schools F, amenities F.
Elmore County (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #21 of 129 in AL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elmore County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $150k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VREDDP6SYDAYC8
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29