3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,242 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,033/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,544
Tax + insurance
−$299
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$-237/mo
Annual
$-2,846/yr
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.45%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$82,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $294k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-237 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (14.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (31.0% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#279 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Rock Spring Elementary (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #575 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 692 students, 40% FRL); Ola Middle School (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #140 of 470 statewide, top 30%, 1,163 students, 32% FRL); Ola High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 424 statewide, top 36%, 1,764 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $294k implies a 269% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VSDWRQ5KJSSXPV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29