4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,425 sqft ·
Built 1982
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,963/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$550
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$622
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-479/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.49%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-479/yr) — negative. Per door: $-20/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $342k (2.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (15.1% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Rice El (math 40% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,335 of 4,322 statewide, top 33%, 680 students, 60% FRL); Hubbard Middle (math 47% / reading 45%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 869 students, 62% FRL); Tyler Legacy H S (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,594 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 655 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-VSXEMC5E091PJR
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29