3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
909 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,449/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$460/mo
Annual
$5,514/yr
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.02%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#130 in VA, #4,217 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Augusta County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #52 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Guy K. Stump Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 451 students, 43% FRL); Stuarts Draft Middle (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #156 of 342 statewide, top 46%, 488 students, 48% FRL); Stuarts Draft High (math 62% / reading 82%, grade B+, #134 of 319 statewide, top 45%, 698 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Augusta County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.5% in Stuarts Draft — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VT61YHC9ZAAHTC
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29