4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,664 sqft ·
Built 1870
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,499/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,083
Tax + insurance
−$405
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$-304/mo
Annual
$-3,642/yr
Cap rate
4.53%
Cash-on-cash
-6.30%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$57,820
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $206k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (26.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (27.4% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,038 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Schoharie Central School District (rural): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #476 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Schoharie Elementary School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 347 students, 52% FRL); Schoharie High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,032 of 1,100 statewide, top 95%, 465 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Schoharie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schoharie County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $206k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29