3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,874 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,287/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$-282/mo
Annual
$-3,388/yr
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.90%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (24.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (37.2% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (37.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#121 in IA, #2,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
West Hancock Community School District (rural): math 76% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #77 of 289 in IA (top 27%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hancock County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $156k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VTY979FXDGNY19
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29