2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,520 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Active
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,972/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,044
Net cashflow
$-1,600/mo
Annual
$-19,205/yr
Cap rate
3.89%
Cash-on-cash
-8.57%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$224,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $568k (28.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $497k (37.8% below list).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($704k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $497k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $86k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $80k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $200k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $540k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$137k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,972/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 4473% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29