1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
731 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$303
HOA
−$227
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$-122/mo
Annual
$-1,466/yr
Cap rate
4.81%
Cash-on-cash
-5.29%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$27,692
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $77k (21.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in TX, #4,447 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety F.
Garland ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #553 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Daugherty El (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 810 students, 94% FRL); B G Hudson Middle (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 1,207 students, 50% FRL); Sachse H S (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #509 of 1,632 statewide, top 34%, 2,997 students, 43% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 368 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.5% in Garland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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